Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 1.069720 1.289007 1.521231 1.783612 2.070055 2.371665 2.711670
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.771360 1.070262 1.410020 1.816808 2.283353 2.795342 3.393611
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.601115 0.932361 1.329428 1.824248 2.410114 3.069488 3.856281
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.442152 0.780006 1.209382 1.766853 2.447602 3.231977 4.185727
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.324411 0.657030 1.105648 1.711099 2.471203 3.364951 4.468986
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.241578 0.565932 1.030109 1.679460 2.514892 3.514388 4.765417
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.194712 0.519313 1.007661 1.710513 2.631768 3.748158 5.158900
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.151559 0.469150 0.973643 1.721166 2.719169 3.943629 5.505028
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.108063 0.406743 0.913908 1.690882 2.749498 4.065768 5.760455
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.097197 0.405500 0.946619 1.788710 2.946736 4.395245 6.268141
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.088391 0.406512 0.981941 1.889869 3.148488 4.730902 6.784343
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.082726 0.413266 1.026094 2.003707 3.367478 5.088931 7.329049
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.073055 0.411161 1.059811 2.109946 3.587134 5.461504 7.909519
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.055632 0.383931 1.049288 2.151127 3.720536 5.727387 8.362511
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.038193 0.347402 1.017864 2.157643 3.804108 5.927624 8.732377
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.019687 0.291409 0.944098 2.095032 3.789462 5.999747 8.941591
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.008009 0.242061 0.874610 2.033341 3.771876 6.064922 9.139547
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002471 0.206062 0.825019 1.998491 3.788300 6.171257 9.386288
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000815 0.191588 0.818632 2.032742 3.902718 6.406149 9.795889
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000040 0.172738 0.799657 2.044505 3.983818 6.596605 10.149006
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.145295 0.755662 2.011081 3.997295 6.696006 10.385233
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.150915 0.793363 2.118957 4.219053 7.074604 10.980078
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.157165 0.832837 2.230257 4.446368 7.461309 11.586212